Monthly Briefing on the World Economic Situation and Prospects, No. 9

June 2009

Summary:

  • First quarter data underscore the severity of the crisis across the globe. Although some high-frequency indicators for developed economies suggest a slowing of the downturn, economic recovery is still far from in sight.
  • Several large Asian economies are showing remarkable resilience, partly as a result of large fiscal stimulus packages.
  • Prices of oil and other commodities have rebounded owing to a renewed weakness of the dollar and less pessimistic expectations for the global economy by some market participants.
  • Bilateral and multilateral donors have pledged additional funds for African countries.
Recently released data on GDP growth in the first quarter of 2009 underscore the severity of the global economic crisis. In most regions of the world, the pace of the downturn accelerated sharply during the first three months of the year, most notably in Western Europe and the new EU member States, Japan, and the economies in transition. Many large developing countries such as Mexico, South Africa, and Turkey have also fallen into deep recessions, largely owing to the collapse in demand for manufactured goods in developed economies. By contrast, some large Asian economies including China, India, and Indonesia reported relatively robust GDP growth in the first quarter, surpassing the expectations of most analysts. Economic activity in these countries continued to expand owing to large fiscal stimulus packages and resilience in domestic demand. While these better-than-expected performances during the first quarter of the year have raised hopes of an early recovery in parts of East and South Asia, other regions may need much longer to return to robust growth.
 

Download the World Economic Situation and Prospects Monthly Briefing No. 9

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